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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 65.3% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 22.7% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.
  • As it relates to air yards, Kenneth Gainwell ranks in just the 9th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in football versus the Detroit Lions defense this year (66.0% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Lions defense has yielded the fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to running backs: 0.00 per game this year.

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