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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+192/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -240.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kenneth Gainwell has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.6% this year, which puts him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's 20.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 7.4.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 74.2% to 91.9%.
  • With an exceptional ratio of 0.14 per game through the air (85th percentile), Kenneth Gainwell stands among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 58.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 50.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.

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