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Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-230).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +215.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.96 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.Kenneth Gainwell has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 17.0% this year, which ranks him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.Kenneth Gainwell's 21.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 7.4.The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.In regards to air yards, Kenneth Gainwell ranks in the lowly 13th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills defense has yielded a paltry 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 5th-best rate in football.Opposing squads have rushed for the most TDs in the NFL (1.55 per game) versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year.
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