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Kenneth Gainwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-490).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +405 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +390.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.Kenneth Gainwell has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 8.3% this year, which puts him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.Kenneth Gainwell's 18.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 7.4.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The projections expect the Steelers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.8 plays per game.Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Chargers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.When it comes to air yards, Kenneth Gainwell ranks in the paltry 14th percentile among running backs this year, with just -4.0 per game.With a very bad ratio of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Kenneth Gainwell ranks as one of the weakest receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among running backs this year.
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