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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • After taking on 11.4% of his offense's run game usage last year, Kenneth Gainwell has been called on more in the run game this year, now comprising 32.0%.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
  • Kenneth Gainwell's rushing effectiveness has improved this season, totaling 4.64 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.84 mark last season.
  • The Colts linebackers project as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 38.6% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 50.0 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 96.0 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

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