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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kenneth Gainwell has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this year (29.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (11.4%).
  • Kenneth Gainwell has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
  • Kenneth Gainwell's ground effectiveness has been refined this year, totaling 4.87 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.84 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 5th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.0% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a measly 52.9 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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