My Account Log Out
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The predictive model expects Kenneth Gainwell to garner 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.28 seconds per snap.
  • Kenneth Gainwell profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to RBs, catching a measly 77.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.
  • Since the start of last season, the imposing Vikings defense has surrendered a measly 79.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 7th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Vikings safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™