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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this contest, Kenneth Gainwell is forecasted by the predictive model to slot into the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 6.1 targets.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack this year (15.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (5.0%).
  • The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's play as a receiver has improved this season, accumulating 3.7 adjusted catches compared to a measly 1.0 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 4-point favorite this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.0 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Cleveland's collection of LBs has been very good this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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