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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 65.3% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • In this contest, Kenneth Gainwell is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 6.2 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.
  • The Lions pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.3%) to running backs this year (78.3%).
  • The Lions safeties project as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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