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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Kenneth Gainwell to accumulate 5.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's 15.0% Target Share this season signifies an impressive boost in his passing game usage over last season's 5.0% figure.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's receiving skills have improved this season, accumulating 3.6 adjusted catches vs a measly 1.0 last season.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 74.2% to 91.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 58.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 50.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.5 per game) this year.

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