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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+111/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.96 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.
  • The leading projections forecast Kenneth Gainwell to garner 5.2 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has been a more integral piece of his offense's air attack this year (15.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (5.0%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.
  • This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills defense has yielded a paltry 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 5th-best rate in football.

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