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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Kenneth Gainwell to notch 4.5 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has been much more involved in his offense's pass attack this season (12.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.0%).
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's receiving talent has gotten a boost this year, averaging 2.9 adjusted catches vs a mere 1.0 last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

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