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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends rank as the 7th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line has given their QB 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.

Kenneth Gainwell's 9.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 17.7.

Kenneth Gainwell's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 73.6% to 64.7%.

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