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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.

The predictive model expects Kenneth Gainwell to garner 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.28 seconds per snap.

Divvying up all of his team's air yards this year, Kenneth Gainwell has only earned a paltry -4.3%, ranking him in the 17th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Kenneth Gainwell profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to RBs, catching a measly 77.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

Kenneth Gainwell's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this season, accumulating a measly 3.31 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 5.41 mark last season.

Kenneth Gainwell's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.75 rate last season.

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