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Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-121).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -121.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.96 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.The leading projections forecast Kenneth Gainwell to garner 5.2 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.Kenneth Gainwell has been a more integral piece of his offense's air attack this year (15.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (5.0%).The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.In regards to air yards, Kenneth Gainwell ranks in the lowly 13th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.With a subpar 5.2 adjusted yards per target (13th percentile) this year, Kenneth Gainwell places among the worst RB receiving threats in the league.Kenneth Gainwell's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a substantial decline in his effectiveness in space over last season's 6.8% rate.
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