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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Kenneth Gainwell to notch 4.5 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has been much more involved in his offense's pass attack this season (12.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.0%).
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has put up many more adjusted receiving yards per game (13.0) this year than he did last year (7.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • In regards to air yards, Kenneth Gainwell ranks in the measly 19th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -3.0 per game.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's 3.9 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a noteable decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 5.4 mark.

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