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Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-103/-112).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -103.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.Our trusted projections expect Kenneth Gainwell to earn 4.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.Kenneth Gainwell's 13.1% Target% this season conveys a remarkable growth in his passing game volume over last season's 5.0% figure.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The projections expect the Steelers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.8 plays per game.Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Chargers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.When it comes to air yards, Kenneth Gainwell ranks in the paltry 14th percentile among running backs this year, with just -4.0 per game.Kenneth Gainwell's receiving effectiveness has diminished this season, averaging a mere 4.14 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.41 mark last season.
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