Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When talking about air yards, Kenneth Gainwell grades out in the towering 99th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a monstrous 8.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 53.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
Kenneth Gainwell's 42.7% Snap% this season marks a noteworthy growth in his offensive utilization over last season's 28.2% mark.
Kenneth Gainwell's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 82.1% to 74.8%.

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