Kenneth Gainwell Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 19, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2025 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the model to run 67.7 plays on offense in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week.
The Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.
Kenneth Gainwell has been a much smaller part of his team's offense this season, playing on just 23.3% of snaps compared to 40.4% last season.

Favors Under

The Eagles will be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
The Green Bay defensive ends profile as the 8th-best group of DEs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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