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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-540).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -540.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to utilize backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a whopping 63.7 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (46.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the San Francisco 49ers.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the 49ers profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, Kendrick Bourne has not caught any TDs through the air this year.
  • The Texans pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (58.1%) to wideouts this year (58.1%).
  • The Texans defense has allowed the 4th-fewest touchdowns through the air in football to wideouts: 0.50 per game this year.

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