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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-255).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -255.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
  • The model projects Kendrick Bourne to be a more important option in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this week's game (17.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.5% in games he has played).
  • Kendrick Bourne has put up far more air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (29.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 45.6% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Kendrick Bourne grades out in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-highest clip in the NFL versus the Falcons defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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