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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+510/-950).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -760 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -950.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers may pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Brock Purdy.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
  • With an exceptional 76.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Kendrick Bourne ranks among the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Jaguars defense has conceded a colossal 1.05 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-biggest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 9th-most run-focused offense in football near the end zone (45.7% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the San Francisco 49ers.
  • Right now, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the San Francisco 49ers.
  • With an awful rate of just 0.07 per game through the air (19th percentile), Kendrick Bourne places among the weakest receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to wideouts since the start of last season.

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