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Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-530).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +420 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +380.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

While Kendrick Bourne has received 3.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in San Francisco's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 13.5%.

With an excellent 76.2% Adjusted Catch% (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Kendrick Bourne ranks among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Right now, the 10th-most run-focused team in the league in the red zone (45.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the San Francisco 49ers.

With a very bad ratio of just 0.08 per game through the air (22nd percentile), Kendrick Bourne ranks among the weakest receiving TD-scorers in football among WRs since the start of last season.

The Cardinals defense has given up the 5th-fewest TDs through the air in the league to WRs: 0.89 per game since the start of last season.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's CB corps has been excellent since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

More Kendrick Bourne Player Props

Kendrick Bourne TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3