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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+570/-590).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -430 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -590.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • After accruing 29.0 air yards per game last year, Kendrick Bourne has produced significantly more this year, now boasting 39.0 per game.
  • With an excellent 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (82nd percentile) this year, Kendrick Bourne stands among the best possession receivers in the NFL among WRs.
  • This year, the weak Chicago Bears defense has conceded a colossal 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.
  • This year, the poor Bears defense has allowed a colossal 1.27 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • With a low 2.5% Red Zone Target% (23rd percentile) this year, Kendrick Bourne stands as one of the wide receivers with the most usage near the goal line in football.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on the back of Kendrick Bourne's trading card this year.

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