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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1650/-2400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2400 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kendrick Bourne has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).
  • Kendrick Bourne is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in football, completing a fantastic 74.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among WRs.
  • The Titans pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.9%) vs. WRs this year (70.9%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tennessee's group of CBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • This year, Kendrick Bourne has not caught any receiving TDs this year.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-most TDs in the league (1.38 per game) versus the Titans defense this year.

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