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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-1900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • While Kendrick Bourne has been responsible for 4.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in San Francisco's passing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 11.7%.
  • Kendrick Bourne has compiled far more air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (29.0 per game).
  • Kendrick Bourne has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing an outstanding 76.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • The opposing side have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.45 per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 26-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.9 per game) this year.
  • With an awful rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Kendrick Bourne stands among the worst receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to wide receivers this year.

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