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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

Kendrick Bourne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-142/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones.

The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.

With an excellent 74.2% Adjusted Completion% (75th percentile) last year, Kendrick Bourne places as one of the most reliable receivers in football among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 56.3 per game on average).

While Kendrick Bourne has earned 10.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in San Francisco's pass game in this week's contest at 3.0%.

The Saints pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.4%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (61.4%).

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