My Account Log Out
 
 
Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Colts defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.
  • Kendrick Bourne checks in as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 73.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 87th percentile among wideouts.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 125.6 plays on offense run: the lowest number among all games this week.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™