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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Kendrick Bourne has notched many more air yards this season (38.0 per game) than he did last season (29.0 per game).
  • Kendrick Bourne's 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a material boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 26.0 mark.
  • Kendrick Bourne checks in as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, catching a terrific 72.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Kendrick Bourne's 10.4 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 8.3 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Kendrick Bourne's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this season, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.29 figure last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 121.0) to wideouts this year.
  • This year, the daunting Seahawks defense has allowed the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a puny 6.8 yards.

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