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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Colts defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (38.9 per game) this year.
  • After accruing 29.0 air yards per game last season, Kendrick Bourne has made big progress this season, currently pacing 39.0 per game.
  • Kendrick Bourne's 40.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a noteworthy gain in his receiving skills over last season's 26.0 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 125.6 plays on offense run: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • Kendrick Bourne's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks an impressive decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 3.3% mark.

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