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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • After accruing 29.0 air yards per game last season, Kendrick Bourne has made big progress this season, now boasting 50.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The model projects Kendrick Bourne to be a much smaller part of his team's pass attack in this game (6.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.7% in games he has played).
  • The San Francisco O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Kendrick Bourne's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a noteworthy drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 3.3% mark.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 7.79 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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