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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Kendrick Bourne's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten better this year, totaling 7.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 5.29 figure last year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (172.0) vs. wideouts this year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (71%) vs. wide receivers this year (71.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
  • Kendrick Bourne has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).
  • Kendrick Bourne's 20.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 30.8.
  • Kendrick Bourne has posted many fewer receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (45.0).

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