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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

Kendre Miller Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-630).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -560 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -630.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 62.9% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the league in these situations has been the New Orleans Saints.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 139.7 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.

The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a whopping 64.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Kendre Miller has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 1st percentile among RBs.

Kendre Miller's 2.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in the league: 21st percentile for RBs.

Kendre Miller grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among RBs, completing a mere 71.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

This year, Kendre Miller has not caught any receiving TDs this year.

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