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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

Kendre Miller Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-1050).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +610 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +600.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints have a new play-caller this season in head coach Kellen Moore, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Saints being a huge -7-point underdog in this week's game.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 138.9 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football.

The model projects Kendre Miller to be a much smaller part of his offense's ground game near the end zone in this game (19.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (36.4% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.7% pass rate.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Kendre Miller stands among the RB receiving threats with the least usage near the end zone in football.

The New Orleans O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The receiving TD line reads "0" on Kendre Miller's box scores since the start of last season.

More Kendre Miller Player Props

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