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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints

Kendre Miller Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-116/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 135.5 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

Since the start of last season, the stout Buffalo Bills run defense has yielded a paltry 4.71 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 25th-best rate in the league.

The Bills linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Saints offensive gameplan to tilt 2.5% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a giant -14.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Saints to run on 38.3% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Kendre Miller has been a less important option in his team's ground game this year (18.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (31.5%).

More Kendre Miller Player Props

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