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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

Kendre Miller Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 10th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (40.3% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 138.9 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints have a new play-caller this season in head coach Kellen Moore, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Saints being a huge -7-point underdog in this week's game.

Kendre Miller has been a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this season (19.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (31.5%).

The Seattle defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

More Kendre Miller Player Props

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