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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Kendre Miller Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Last year, the formidable Cardinals run defense has allowed a feeble 4.77 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 26th-smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Saints, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • While Kendre Miller has garnered 31.5% of his team's carries in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be a much smaller piece of New Orleans's ground game in this week's game at 21.0%.
  • The Cardinals safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL last year in regard to run defense.

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