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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kendre Miller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 140.1 plays on offense run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • With an impressive 100.0% Adjusted Catch Rate (100th percentile) this year, Kendre Miller rates as one of the best possession receivers in football among RBs.
  • The Bears pass defense has surrendered the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (87.6%) to running backs since the start of last season (87.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Saints to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
  • Kendre Miller comes in as one of the worst RB receiving threats this year, averaging a measly 0.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 24th percentile among running backs.

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