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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kendre Miller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+425/-700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -700.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 139.7 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a whopping 64.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • The New York Giants defense has conceded the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (40.0) to running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Kendre Miller has run a route on 10.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 20th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Kendre Miller is positioned as one of the worst pass-game RBs this year, averaging a lowly 2.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 19th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Kendre Miller grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among RBs, completing a mere 71.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
  • The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year with their pass rush.

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