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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints

Kendre Miller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Saints offensive gameplan to tilt 2.5% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a giant -14.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 61.7% of their chances: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see 135.5 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.

The Buffalo Bills defense has conceded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (36.0) to RBs since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

Kendre Miller has run a route on 9.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

When talking about pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Kendre Miller comes in as one of the weakest pass-game RBs this year, averaging a measly 3.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile among RBs.

With a lackluster 71.7% Adjusted Catch% (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Kendre Miller stands among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among RBs.

More Kendre Miller Player Props

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