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Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller Carries
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

Kendre Miller Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-focused team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.9% run rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Kendre Miller has garnered 30.1% of his offense's run game usage since the start of last season, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

The 49ers defensive ends project as the 7th-worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Saints offense to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with head coach Kellen Moore now calling the plays.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on passing than their normal approach.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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