Kendall Hinton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kendall Hinton

NFL · Player Props

Kendall Hinton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Kendall Hinton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Kendall Hinton to be much more involved in his offense's air attack this week (15.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.3% in games he has played).
Kendall Hinton has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching an impressive 84.0% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (70.9%) to WRs this year (70.9%).

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Carolina Panthers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in football since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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