Kendall Hinton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kendall Hinton

NFL · Player Props

Kendall Hinton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 6:01 PM EST

Analysis

Kendall Hinton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Kendall Hinton to be much more involved in his offense's air attack this week (15.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.3% in games he has played).
Kendall Hinton has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (11.0 per game).
Kendall Hinton has accrued substantially more receiving yards per game (31.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.06 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
The Carolina Panthers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in football since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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