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Kendall Hinton

Kendall Hinton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Kendall Hinton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kendall Hinton to be much more involved in his offense's air attack this week (15.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.3% in games he has played).
  • Kendall Hinton has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (11.0 per game).
  • Kendall Hinton has accrued substantially more receiving yards per game (31.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.06 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in football since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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