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Kendall Hinton

Kendall Hinton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Kendall Hinton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+362/-719).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -627 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -719.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kendall Hinton to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (14.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • Kendall Hinton has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (11.0 per game).
  • Kendall Hinton has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching an impressive 84.0% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (70.9%) to WRs this year (70.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Kendall Hinton grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 8th-least passing TDs in the league to WRs: 0.64 per game this year.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in football since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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