My Account Log Out
 
 
Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -215 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (38.3 per game) this year.
  • Keenan Allen's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 61.0% to 66.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have just 126.9 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • While Keenan Allen has accounted for 31.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's passing offense near the end zone in this game at 23.9%.
  • After accumulating 78.0 air yards per game last season, Keenan Allen has fallen off this season, now pacing 71.0 per game.
  • Keenan Allen's 55.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 64.5.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™