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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+178/-235).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +178.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) since the start of last season.
  • With a high 26.8% Red Zone Target Rate (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Keenan Allen rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Keenan Allen has accumulated a massive 78.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (46.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
  • The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the fewest TDs through the air in football to wideouts: 0.58 per game since the start of last season.

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