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Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+107/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Keenan Allen to notch 8.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among WRs.

Keenan Allen's play as a receiver has gotten better this year, averaging 5.9 adjusted receptions vs a measly 4.8 last year.

Keenan Allen's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 61.0% to 68.9%.

The Titans pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.6%) to wideouts this year (76.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chargers being an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have only 126.5 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.8 per game) this year.

Keenan Allen's 55.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 64.5.

More Keenan Allen Player Props

Keenan Allen ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 9