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Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

In this week's game, Keenan Allen is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.9 targets.

Keenan Allen's pass-catching performance improved this season, accumulating 6.2 adjusted catches compared to a measly 4.8 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.7 per game) this year.

Keenan Allen's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 64.5.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

More Keenan Allen Player Props

Keenan Allen ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 8