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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-157/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -157.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 129.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The leading projections forecast Keenan Allen to accrue 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Keenan Allen rates as one of the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Keenan Allen to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense in this game (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (27.5% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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