Keenan Allen Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Keenan Allen

NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Keenan Allen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Keenan Allen to garner 9.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Keenan Allen to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack this week (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.4% in games he has played).

Favors Under

Keenan Allen's pass-catching performance worsened this year, averaging just 3.9 yards per game compared to 6.6 last year.

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